This is a really common question, people are still unsure about how much they have to have in order to get a loan. While it is simple enough in terms of the rules, what is tricky is that keeping track on exceptions becomes difficult in a ‘live mortgage loan’ situation because some may draw down and others don’t.
We were asked to comment on the Central Bank mortgage loan proposals, we believe they are as blunt an instrument as you could use and that a more nuanced solution would be not only easier to implement but more effective. Equally, we don’t expect any such approach to be undertaken as too much of the regulators reputation has been staked on this policy.
Today I am taking out the crystal ball, and asking it if these final weeks of December 2008 and the start of January 09′ are the tipping point of the greatest bear market since the 1930’s. The recession is huge, there has been billions in wealth wiped out, we passed the one trillion mark last month, the total is expected to be over 1.5 trillion USD in total.
The question is, how low will the path of this bear market go? [note: this is about the stock market and not the Irish property market] Central banks around the world are chopping rates, forming bailout packages and doing all possible to get the economy back on track. Today we will consider some of the reasons that we may be actually seeing the start of a tipping point.
I believe the trend will be that we saw what amounted to the greatest financial crash in modern history in nominal terms. The fallout in Q4 only escaped the ‘crash’ moniker (but ‘worldwide financial crisis’ doesn’t exactly have a …