The Slow Fall of Housing Prices

With the rising prices in the Ireland housing market continuing on their steep journey up, buyers in the market are slowly being priced out.

That is, they simply cannot afford to purchase homes anymore and are becoming less and less driven to continue their search.

With unrealistic prices seen all around the board and most steeply in the Dublin area, where housing demand is the highest, buyers are beginning to call off their hunt for homes.

What about the future?

How long will these buyers that choose to wait, be waiting, until they can comfortably afford their dream home?

With housing prices being upwards of 11.4 times more than the typical buyer’s disposable income in 2017, with an expected increase to be reported in 2018, it is likely it will be years before homebuyers are able to comfortably afford homes in the Dublin market.

It is likely that they will begin to look in the neighboring areas where prices are less competitive and there is less demand.

If, and when, housing price inflation regulates, it is possible there will be …

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Is the Housing Market Really Recovering?

The Irish property and housing market have been working to recover since 2012, solely funded byways of international capital.

That’s nearly 6 years of borrowing to achieve a market that remains in the midst of a crisis.

Foreign investors have for long been a very prominent component in the market as they have achieved multiple ways of investing in properties and homes in which provided for a strong return.

International investors have been tracked as using a strategy in which all of their funds went to purchasing the most inexpensive properties in the cities of Ireland and reselling them at extremely high prices to buyers.

This is a smart way for investors to get the highest return possible and make the most out of their investment contributions.

Some investors have begun in the flipping business in which they would sometimes reconstruct entire office blocks for re-selling. By doing this they as said above, are able to buy for extremely low prices and make a large profit margin when reselling.

The latest development in the …

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Buy-To-Let Homes in Arrears

Why have recent reports been showing an increase in the number of mortgages being in arrears? More specifically the interest-only mortgages? And furthermore specifically, those on buy-to-let homes?

Interest only mortgages are typically mortgages that are seen to be taken by investors searching for a more affordable option to the standard mortgage scheme.

So, why has it been found that those who hold interest-only mortgages are more likely to be in arrears today?

In a recent study by the Central Bank, it was found that this is the case for investors on an interest-only mortgage deal for buy-to-let homes.

The surplus in interest-only mortgages that we are seeing today was initiated by buyers of high end and expensive properties during the last housing boom.

It is predicted now, that we will see a strong increase in the amount of homeowner to go into arrears as nearly a third of the interest-only mortgages have plans to make the switch to paying a traditional capital and interest mortgage from present 2018 to 2022.

It is not of a …

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How the Mortgage Market can Return to Normal Levels

Last week the Institute of Banking held a forum on behalf of the Irish Mortgage market in which Deputy Governor Ed Sibley delivered a speech addressing much of what is prevalent in the country today.

It began by briefing the current housing situation in Ireland. Simply put, it’s dreadful. As many are on the pursuit of suitable housing the “toxic legacies of the financial crisis” are proceeding to cause mayhem throughout the nation.

The forum started by discussing the role of the central bank. The central bank plays a much greater part in the overall mortgage market than one may think.

It is up to the central bank to ensure that “the economic and social good of mortgage provision is prudent, sustainable, and that the best interests of consumers are protected. “

The central bank has had to take extensive interventionist movements in the Irish mortgage market since the financial crisis as Ireland typically experiences extreme economic and human hardships when these certain risks arise.

In order for the mortgage market to function properly, consumers …

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Current House Price Report

Recently released at the beginning of July 2018 was the housing price report for Q2. Though little differences appear on the surface, there are few small signs signaling a positive overall change in the market.

Home sale prices are currently up when compared to those of just three months to a year previous. This statistic is proven accurate for nearly all parts of the country, that is, with Donegal being an exception. Donegal typically is the outlier of the counties as Brexit is being found to have a strong impact on their housing market.

Because the housing market is still showing sign of increased demand coinciding with a weak development of new homes, it is predicted that the prices will continue to grow. However, with this most recent report from draft.ie, we see that the overall trend may be slowly changing as prices are only 5.6% higher than the current 0% inflation, being the lowest rate of inflation reported in nearly four years.

The last time Ireland has seen a similar situation to the one currently facing the economy was …

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Possibilities of House Prices to Fall

Disregarding the findings of all recent numbers and reports that have been recorded, Central Bank Governor Philip Lane is reported by the Oireachtas Finance Committee as saying that he is expecting house prices to fall over the upcoming 3 years.

This statement being a bold one as the figured recently released by the Central Statistics Office reports house prices to have rose in the previous month by nearly 13%.

Such a statement that if true, would be a drastic change in the housing market and would cause chaos among buyers and sellers as the stark difference between the two different scenarios.

Though Philip Lane cannot say for sure what the housing market will do in the coming years, he made his predictions based off of a few “headwinds” that are expected to be taking a hit to the market.

Specific events that many are expecting to cause a large backlash in the economy and the housing market are Brexit and the funding costs for banks.

If a negative outcome is to be the result of either of these, they should …

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What Brexit Means for the Housing Market.

How will Brexit affect the Ireland housing market? A question wondered by many citizens in Ireland, especially those currently active in the housing market.

Though not all bad, the housing market could be negatively impacted by the loss of international buyers.

As the nation watched as the British pound lost value by 10% with the referendum result being announced, and has dropped even more since then, housing in Ireland just got significantly more expensive for British buyers.

With current housing prices already being considered too high, for all buyers, international or not, the prospects of buying just got much more difficult for anyone newly searching.

The Irish Times reported recently that 60% of buyers of top-end homes are international, while 40% being more specifically from the UK.

By top-end homes, the Times is reporting numbers of €1 million and over homes. Meaning, the rest of the market, while without statistics from the Irish Times is also highly diluted by foreign investors.

Citizens looking to permanently move should not have much of an impact in their quest to buy as it …

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Irish Housing Market Trends

Ireland has seen a hit take place in recent years as property market seems to be downsizing. Families, with two full-time working partners, are finding it difficult to afford houses at their current increasing costs.

It has even been reported by Mark Keenan, a writer for business property and mortgages that working families are struggling to rent as well.

The average working couple in Ireland is earning a combined income of 70,000 euros. This is far below what a couple needs to earn to afford a home today.

It is reported that the average home in Dublin is now priced at mid 400,000 levels. Much more than what the average working couple could afford.

In just the last three months, there has been a multiple week increase to sell a home in Dublin. The housing market is slowing down and it’s slowing down fast.

Why is it that homes are being put on the market for such high prices? It could be that those selling the homes are finding it hard to sell for less …

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Somebody has to put a stop to social housing provision

Somebody has to put a stop to social housing provision in its current form. It isn’t working and the continuance of Part V contributions is a mistake.

Part V works as a blunt tool which hits new home buyers in order to provide for social housing, it creates a 20% tax of sorts that has to be absorbed elsewhere in the end costs.

Think about the sums like this, imagine you had to give away 20% of €100, and that for a project to stack up you needed about a 20% return on costs to cover financing charges, cashflow and to help get the next project underway.

The return on €80 to get the €20 on top of the €100 in cost is 50% (80+50% = 120), this cost is absorbed by the end buyer, on top of VAT and development levies etc. This example is not completely fair I’ll admit because the rules state that it’s 20% of the land at existing use value rather than at development land value, some of the …

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