Bear with me, we'll talk about 'Bears'

Here are a set of charts (compliments of dshort.com)

Below is a chart of the four major bear markets we have seen in the last 100 years. The only one that has been bigger than the current graph is that of the Great Depression.

Then next graph is one of the S&P 500 since the 50’s showing the level of fall out in each market, the grey band (width) gives an indication of the number of months each one lasted. Using the S&P as an indicator of general market health is the foundation of each of these graphs, while it doesn’t represent the entire market it does have the major companies in the index. Click here to see a chart where you can view each bear market in greater detail.

The current bear market is last, and it shows that we entered a bear market in July of 08′. Typically …

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Bear with me, we’ll talk about ‘Bears’

Here are a set of charts (compliments of dshort.com)

Below is a chart of the four major bear markets we have seen in the last 100 years. The only one that has been bigger than the current graph is that of the Great Depression.

Then next graph is one of the S&P 500 since the 50’s showing the level of fall out in each market, the grey band (width) gives an indication of the number of months each one lasted. Using the S&P as an indicator of general market health is the foundation of each of these graphs, while it doesn’t represent the entire market it does have the major companies in the index. Click here to see a chart where you can view each bear market in greater detail.

The current bear market is last, and it shows that we entered a bear market in July of 08′. Typically …

Read More

Are we in a cyclical bull market?

Steve Leuthold talks on Bloomberg about the reasons he feels we are going to see a cyclical bull market (as opposed to the secular bear that many feel we are in). Small cap stocks (likely some pinksheets) and many others are headed upwards according to Leuthold who feels that this we are seeing the best valuations he has come across in his 45 years of studying the markets.  He says that a split of 65% in stocks is now advisable, that is a huge weighting given the market moves we have seen lately where equity holders have been continuously wiped out. Big tech stocks and gold both feature in his talk.

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