Newstalk: Another crash is coming, accept it

We spoke to Ciara Kelly about the current property market and where we believe we are in the cycle. She was surprised to hear us say that we believed a crash was virtually an inevitability. There are myriad reason for property cycles and the routes to resolving them are politically unacceptable, for that reason we are confident we won’t avoid experiencing another one.

Read More

Sunday Independent: We must speak to banks in language they understand and make them pay price

This is our article that appeared in the Sunday Independent when Karl Deeter was covering a column for Charlie Weston on the 5th of November.

We need to speak to banks in the language they understand, not the language they ‘tell us’ they understand, but the actual language they speak. That language is the language of money.

The ongoing tracker scandal doesn’t cover many of the mortgage holders who lost trackers – many banks took them away from landlords as a part of granting them longer interest-only periods and with some of the biggest institutions these borrowers aren’t covered.

While some may have a hard time feeling pity for landlords, I would remind them that you can’t delight in their financial pain then scratch your head when they jack up rents and squeeze tenants for all they can in order to pay the new higher cost of lending.

Banks are as big a cost to this country as many aspects of public health, we spent more bailing out banks than we did on curing cancer in the last eight years.

Read More

Who provides mortgages in Germany and who are the largest providers?

The provider of mortgages in Germany is always a banks. You usually use your bank where you already have your account because they can make you a better offer with better conditions. But there are also websites where you can compare different providers.

In order to clarify this question, the “Who is Who” of the real estate financiers in Frankfurt is gathered once a year. Max Herbst, owner of the FMH financial consulting and grand seigneury of the German bankers, lends the FMH Award. For the past 25 years, Herbst has been analysing the conditions for real estate loans and has regularly selected the best suppliers of the year for four years.

A total of 14 members of the Board of Directors and eight directors and department heads had been present, including Wolfgang Müller, the board of BBBank, Michiel Goris, CEO of Interhyp, or Dieter Pfeiffenberger, CEO of BHW Bausparkasse. An award will be awarded to those who, with their Baufi offer in the 50 weeks of last year, had the highest average value of their category. For comparison, Herbst …

Read More

The Times: Maybe I’ll buy a home after the apocalypse

We were mentioned in the Times of Ireland recently in an article on housing crashes “It seems we’re due another property crash, that’s if the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and financial adviser Karl Deeter are anything to go by. Both said in the summer that Ireland was at risk of another housing bubble and subsequent bust, with the latter going so far as to pin the date to sometime in the early 2020s”.

Read More

How does the German mortgage market work?

The German mortgage market is facing a complex period with increasing competition and a smaller population that is eligible for a mortgage because the country is rapidly aging. Of the more than 82 million inhabitants, 50 million in the age group are 20-64 years old. But in 13 years, in 2030, there will be only 34 million Germans who are young enough to receive a mortgage.

Although Germany is the largest mortgage market in Europe after the United Kingdom, the German housing market is different from the rest of the EU market. According to Ilse Helbrecht and Tim Geilenkeuser from the Humboldt University in Berlin, the Germans feel much less committed to their own house than the British, Italians or Spaniards.

Only slightly more than half of the families own the house in which they live. The main reasons for this are a large range of affordable and high-quality rented apartments and a tax system which is not preferred by tenants. Some provinces have set up incentive schemes for first-time buyers, but they are small businesses. Mortgages are offered by …

Read More

Newstalk Lunchtime: Ciara Kelly talks to Karl Deeter about mortgage prices being high

Ciara Kelly interviewed Karl Deeter from Irish Mortgage Brokers in a very comprehensive manner regarding mortgage rates in Ireland and why they are so high. The interview covered a lot of ground, from default risks, to competition, and also why brokers are so important in the mortgage market.

It ended with a suggestion that perhaps banks can’t be entrusted to deal with mortgages in the absence of independent advice and that on that basis they should not be allowed to advertise them and that we should offer new lenders coming into the market some benefit in order to increase competition here.

Read More

Is a ten year fixed rate a good idea?

Recently KBC introduced a 10 year fixed rate, they are not the first back to have done this, in the past other banks had them but their prices were high, the difference today is that you can get a 10 year fixed rate mortgage for below 3% and that means it’s worth considering.

First of all, why would you want to fix for so long? Obviously the longevity of a guaranteed price in a world where rates are expected to rise over time makes it attractive. This has to be balanced against the likelihood of competitive forces driving down Irish mortgage rates. Currently there is upside down pricing where fixed rates are cheaper than variable rates, how long this will last is anybody’s guess.

What we can do is look at the yield curve in order to get an idea of when rates might go up. Looking at that curve today (the quote date is from the 22nd which is last Friday) we see that yields are still negative a full six years into the future.  What …

Read More

An opportunity for home owners amidst rising house prices

The average house price in Ireland has risen 11.2% over the past year, and prices in at least 8 counties are currently rising faster than that immediately preceding the market crash. Rapidly rising prices, low interest rates, and insufficient supply are together representative of the current situation in Ireland’s property market. Although this situation has many market watchers worried about possible inflation, and is definitely a hindrance to buyers still seeking for a home at an affordable price, there is a perk that could result for homeowners with an existing mortgage.

 

This blog post will illustrate this hidden opportunity and give homeowners the necessary knowledge if they intend to pursue it.

 

For homeowners with a high standard variable or fixed rate mortgage, your interest rate is most often based directly on your Loan-to-Value  ratio (LTV). The loan to value ratio is ratio of your loan to the value of your property. Each lending institution may have a different way of calculating and determining your interest rate but in general, the higher your LTV, the higher your interest rate. …

Read More

Cash back deals: are banks manipulating borrowers?

The Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (CCPC) warned lenders last month about their use of cashback deals and loyalty discounts. The commission believes that such incentives may be detrimental to consumers and may reflect unhealthy competition in the mortgage market.

 

Cash back deals have become more and more common in the market in recent years. These deals work by giving borrowers a certain percentage of their total mortgage amount back at the start of their loan, and they mostly target first time buyers who may need the extra money on hand to furnish their homes or to tide them through a tough transitional time in life.

 

A quick look around the market reveals that major lenders, such as AIB, Ulster Bank, Bank of Ireland, EBS and KBC, all have similar cash back deals, mostly ranging from 2-3% or €1500-€2000. The catch on these loans however, is that interest rates on them are often higher than the average on traditional loans. This means that over the term of the loan, extra interest paid  may turn out to be much …

Read More