Ireland without banks, a fascinating paper by Antoin Murphy

Antoin Murphy was and remains one of the most fascinating economic historians in Ireland, his work on John Law is internationally recognized as being the best there is. Here is a paper he did on how Ireland operated without banks, it is a must read for anybody who wants to know more on how the world can work without banks (in a paper oriented system).

Antoin Murphy, Money in an economy without banks, The case of Ireland – bank strike paper

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Today FM: Varadkar comments on housing deposits discussed

We were on Today FM to talk about comments made by the Taoiseach regarding how people come up with money for a deposit to buy a home. While many were finding it a source of outrage, we were making the point that it’s incredibly common and that it actually is a normal occurrence albeit not ‘the norm’ for everybody (because nothing is universal).

This is a good discussion because in our view it shows the way that housing shortages can turn into all manner of talking point arguments, we don’t think it’s realistic to tell parents you can’t help your kids or to say that it’s wrong in any way, but we do agree with Sinead from TheJournal that we have a housing shortage and that this is really where the problem lies.

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Newstalk Lunchtime: Fake bids, do they exist? 21st November 2017

We spoke to Ciara Kelly about the issue of ‘fake bids’ and whether they exist or not. We believe they do but not that they are widespread. The more concerning issue is around the bid that gets accepted because the true conflict of interest would be where a buyer pays an agent to ensure they are the ‘winning bid’, again, this is not widespread but there are enough stories in circulation to believe that it has occurred. The best solution around this is to ensure people register their bids publicly, this would stop most of the chicanery (where it exists) and could even be a form of additional income to the property regulator and an estate agent if there was a fee involved for doing so.

 

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Drivetime: ESRI property report, November 2017

We spoke to Mary Wilson on RTE’s ‘Drivetime’ show about the ESRI Report which stated that property prices would continue to rise for several more years into the future. We know of no significant measure that will reduce the upward momentum of prices at present. In a worrying sense you also don’t see any yield compression – that means that as prices are rising so are yields, this typically indicates a normal relationship with prices and yields (in a bubble yields often drop as the toppy capital prices far outweigh yields).

 

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Newstalk: Another crash is coming, accept it

We spoke to Ciara Kelly about the current property market and where we believe we are in the cycle. She was surprised to hear us say that we believed a crash was virtually an inevitability. There are myriad reason for property cycles and the routes to resolving them are politically unacceptable, for that reason we are confident we won’t avoid experiencing another one.

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Sunday Independent: We must speak to banks in language they understand and make them pay price

This is our article that appeared in the Sunday Independent when Karl Deeter was covering a column for Charlie Weston on the 5th of November.

We need to speak to banks in the language they understand, not the language they ‘tell us’ they understand, but the actual language they speak. That language is the language of money.

The ongoing tracker scandal doesn’t cover many of the mortgage holders who lost trackers – many banks took them away from landlords as a part of granting them longer interest-only periods and with some of the biggest institutions these borrowers aren’t covered.

While some may have a hard time feeling pity for landlords, I would remind them that you can’t delight in their financial pain then scratch your head when they jack up rents and squeeze tenants for all they can in order to pay the new higher cost of lending.

Banks are as big a cost to this country as many aspects of public health, we spent more bailing out banks than we did on curing cancer in the last eight years.

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Who provides mortgages in Germany and who are the largest providers?

The provider of mortgages in Germany is always a banks. You usually use your bank where you already have your account because they can make you a better offer with better conditions. But there are also websites where you can compare different providers.

In order to clarify this question, the “Who is Who” of the real estate financiers in Frankfurt is gathered once a year. Max Herbst, owner of the FMH financial consulting and grand seigneury of the German bankers, lends the FMH Award. For the past 25 years, Herbst has been analysing the conditions for real estate loans and has regularly selected the best suppliers of the year for four years.

A total of 14 members of the Board of Directors and eight directors and department heads had been present, including Wolfgang Müller, the board of BBBank, Michiel Goris, CEO of Interhyp, or Dieter Pfeiffenberger, CEO of BHW Bausparkasse. An award will be awarded to those who, with their Baufi offer in the 50 weeks of last year, had the highest average value of their category. For comparison, Herbst …

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The Times: Maybe I’ll buy a home after the apocalypse

We were mentioned in the Times of Ireland recently in an article on housing crashes “It seems we’re due another property crash, that’s if the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and financial adviser Karl Deeter are anything to go by. Both said in the summer that Ireland was at risk of another housing bubble and subsequent bust, with the latter going so far as to pin the date to sometime in the early 2020s”.

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